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Choose between one
of the following:
Investigate Global
Warming
The annual global
temperature deviations from 1880 to present are available at http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts.txt
(Note: You’ll need
to do some data management. You’ll want the column ‘AnnJ-D’
which has values 1880: -0.12, 1881: -0.12, 1882: 0.00, 1883: -0.05, and so
on.)
In addition to
testing whether or not the earth is warming, provide a forecast for the
next 10 years.
Forecast Consumer
Spending
The US Bureau of Labor
Statistics reports the Consumer Price Index, which, among other things is a
measure of inflation. The monthly data beginning January 1913 to the
present are available at ftp://ftp.bls.gov/pub/special.requests/cpi/cpiai.txt
(Note: you’ll need
to do some data management since the file is laid out with years on rows
and months on columns --- with some nuisance annual values in the last
three columns.)
Create a forecast
through July 2011.
Create a
presentation for this project. You should include:
1. Problem Statement. This should define why the analysis is
performed and how the response variable is defined.
2. Data. Provide the details of where the data was obtained,
how measurements are made, the time period, the number of observations, and
a plot of the time series.
3. Estimated Model. Provide justification of model,
estimates, interpretation, and hypothesis tests (if relevant).
4. Forecast/Predictions.
Your presentation
should use LaTeX, using the beamer class package.
To see an example with some slides that demonstrate math and including
graphs, see this file.
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